Hi,
How are you?
WOW! I can’t believe it’s been almost nine months since my last blog post. How time flies.
I was kindly reminded that a few people do enjoy my blog when Nguyen Loc Duy, from Beeworks Consulting, wrote to me last month to ask what has happened to my blog. He told me that he drew inspiration from my posts.
Up to that point, I didn’t think anyone really cared to be frank. Despite what I thought were some decent posts, the site attracted only about 800 visitors a month and few subscribers. So, I diverted my energy elsewhere.
So what has been happening with me?
Well, I am starting a new company here in Australia. I have decided it’s time to pursue a new strategy in this business. For the past eight years I have done very well as an affiliate marketer. It has paid the bills and given me and my family a wonderful lifestyle.
But something has always been missing. And the point was hit home the other week when a friend asked me what my website was.
As an affiliate marketer, I pretty much operate behind the scenes. It’s a one-man business. And that has suited me just fine. I prefer it this way. It’s an easy life. I have never really had to provide customer support for most of the products I have promoted. And the business generates passive income while I sleep, eat, and even on vacation. I have gone on vacation and earned more money on vacation than the previous month working full time. Seriously!
But now I have come to a point where I feel it is time to move away from affiliate marketing. The industry is becoming super competitive. People are teaching all kinds of systems, and even offering tools to copy successful affiliate campaigns. There are a lot of affiliate marketers out there who are much smarter and more successful at this game than me.
I can see a day in future where most of the work will be carried out by superfast computers that are built by Ph.D. computer engineers, using systems that incorporate a massive amount of data from the weather, news, economical data, shopping patterns, and advanced algorithms to optimize bids and rankings, and test millions of variations of a landing page.
Imagine a system so smart it can calculate the optimum bid, keywords to bid for, and adjust ad copy for thousands of campaigns, based on massive amount of market data, in a split second. It will know the time and day of the week to enter and exit markets for optimum returns.
The system would be so smart that it would be able to calculate the chances of success for a particular product before you even release it by running simulations of a product release.
I would love to build such a system. But I don’t have the means or the brains to accomplish such a project.
It’s not too dissimilar to today’s commodity and stock trading systems. Prior to the 1970s, stocks were bought and sold by hand. Now they are traded using superfast computers.
One system is called, “high-frequency trading” (HFT), whereby computers make decisions to initiate trades based on information that is received electronically, before human traders are capable of processing the information they observe. This is fact, not fiction.
I am no expert, so here is Wikipedia’s description of HFT: “High-frequency trading is a set of computerized trading strategies characterized by extremely short position-holding periods. In high-frequency trading, programs running on high-speed computers analyze massive amounts of market data, using sophisticated algorithms to exploit trading opportunities that may open up for only a fraction of a second. The programs can even inspect major orders as they come in – large institutional orders, as for pension funds and mutual funds – and jump ahead in the queue to skim off profits, a practice known as flash trading.”
According to Rob Iati, Partner of The TABB Group, high-frequency trading firms account for 73% of all U.S. equity trading volume.
Well, you might think we have forty years before the affiliate marketing industry is taken over by computers. Think again. Major pay-per-click (PPC) advertisers and PPC management companies already use computerized bid management systems. They are still quite primitive in their scope right now. But it will only be a matter of time before they take over most of the work that affiliate marketers do today.
The forums are full of affiliate marketing novices wondering why they can’t make PPC campaigns profitable. The answer is because they are up against people with bigger budgets, more powerful systems, and years of industry experience.
I started my affiliate marketing career back in 2002 soon after AdWords launched. It was easy pickings back then. I could invest a few hundred dollars and get a few thousand in return. There was little competition. But I got stuck in my little, lazy, cozy world.
In the past few years, smart affiliate marketers have grown to such a size that they are now spending six to seven figures a month on PPC. It is extremely difficult to compete against companies with budgets hundreds or thousands of times bigger than yours. They can just take a loss until you give up that market to them. If the industry has gone from requiring budgets of thousands to budgets of millions in a few short years, imagine what would be required to compete in this industry by the end of this decade.
I also predict that future affiliate marketing campaigns would be used as loss-leaders. They would be used to generate leads, and lose money on the initial sale. Profits are made on follow-up sales. A lot of traditional marketing channels follow this model.
The majority of affiliate marketing campaigns today only pay commissions on the initial sale. With that model most affiliate marketers would not survive.
So coming back to why I am starting a new company here in Australia. Well, one of the reasons is because it’s time I moved my business over from the US to Australia. This has been my home for the past six years, and probably be for the next sixty (touch wood). I also hate having to deal with two tax systems. It is a headache I can do without.
Another reason is because I just turned forty and have this feeling that the next ten years will, and has to, be the best ten years of my life - business-wise. An uncle once told me that it was all downhill after forty. I actually felt the change after thirty five. But I feel I still have the energy and drive to continue working as hard as I do throughout my forties. I am not sure if the battery will last beyond fifty. To be honest, I want to be able to take it easy by then.
The final reason is because I feel there is something missing from my business and my life - something I can be really proud of. It’s all good and well earning a living. But money is a means to an end. It pays the bills. Pure and simple. It is not something I can hold up and say look at how much I have made, or feel good about.
So the other week when a friend asked me what my website was, I was stumped. I realized I didn’t really know what to say. I own this blog, but that is not my business. I own Mike’s Marketing Tools, but that is an ugly old site that I cannot even recall the last time I updated it.
Most of my work can be seen as ads in Google. But that isn’t exactly something to show people. Add on the fact that I feel the affiliate marketing industry is getting ahead of me, and I thought it was time to go in a new direction.
So I have decided I want to build a brand and loyal following which will form the foundation for future growth. The foundation has to be strong. It has to be a product or service that people trust, and come back to again and again. I guess most successful companies follow this model. There are plenty of examples online.
Take TechCrunch. It started out as a tech blog in 2005. Now it has grown into a network of blogs covering tech, mobile, gadgets and IT, and expanded into Europe, France and Japan. It also hosts conferences with big name sponsors and speakers.
37Signals is another company that built a massive following with their Signal vs. Noise blog, which attracts over 90,000 visitors a day. That helped drive sales for their expanding line of web applications and sales of 30,000 copies of their Getting Real book.
SitePoint is a popular web developer site. With its loyal following, it has grown into a business that spawned 99designs, a crowdsourcing site for people looking for graphic and logo designs. And Flippa, a site for buying and selling websites, with sales of over $35 million.
Another side to my mid-life crisis (that is probably a term that has come to mind as you read this article, right?), is that once I build up the business I want to give back and help those less fortunate than myself. I didn’t have an easy upbringing. My mother left when I was nine. My father passed away when I was twenty-three and left me a pile of debt and an eighteen year old brother to worry about. So I have had to find my own luck in life. Despite my difficult upbringing, I know I have had it better than a lot of people out there.
People just need a break to help them on their way. My lucky break came when I discovered the internet. I want to help give others their lucky break. Organizations like Kiva.org do a wonderful job of helping people help themselves. Kiva allow ordinary folks give microloans, typically only a few hundred dollars, to entrepreneurs mainly in developing countries. The loans are split amongst dozens of lenders, and with the power of peer pressure, an incredible 98.16% of loans are repaid.
At the time of writing, 457,491 Kiva users have funded 193,771 loans (average loan of $391.12) to 360,676 entrepreneurs, 80.2% of those were women. Total value of loans is $139,939,710. Isn’t that incredible?
I am all for charity and regularly make donations. But there is nothing better than people helping themselves. Give people food and shelter and it will feed and house them for a while. Give them the means to build their own business, and get out of poverty, and it can help them towards a better life for them, their family, their children, and their children’s children.
And the great thing about microloans is that when loans are repaid, you can lend the money to someone else. It’s a gift that keeps on giving.
So, I am still around. I am busy planning the next few years of my business and working on launching my new projects. I am also working on another project with a couple of mates. They currently work full time but dream of working in their own business. I am trying to help them fulfill that dream.
I will reveal more details nearer the launch of my new sites, hopefully in the next few months.
In the mean time, thanks for your time, and please take care.
Best regards,
Michael.

Disclosure: If you click on a product link in my blog and purchase the product, I will earn a commission from the referral. This helps to pay the bills. The links to these merchants do not necessarily mean I endorse their products (unless I say otherwise, such as in a review). Please make sure the product is suitable for your requirements before making a purchase.
In a previous post, “
One of the biggest revelations of my life happened to me at a seminar in 2006.